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Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts

Global Forecasts for Light-Duty Hybrid, Plug-in Hybrid,
and Battery Electric Vehicles: 2011-2017

Production of electrified vehicles is gearing up all over the world, and automakers are planning to launch an increasing variety of new models over the next few years. Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and battery electric vehicles (BEVs) will all share the market stage as electrified vehicles continue to capture a larger portion of the total vehicle market.

Pike Research anticipates that the annual market for hybrid electric and plug-in electric vehicles will grow to 2.9 million vehicles by 2017. Increasing fuel costs, government purchase incentives, increasing fuel economy standards, and increased vehicle availability will benefit both segments of electric vehicles to varying degrees. In the hybrid electric market, the incentives are playing less of a role as countries either eliminate incentives or offer low incentives, but a number of models in many segments equates to broader appeal in North America and growth in Europe.

This Pike Research report analyzes the key market forces playing a role in the electric vehicle market and provides comprehensive lists of expected vehicle launches. The report includes detailed forecasts through 2017 for light duty vehicle sales, as well as retail and fleet sales of hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and battery electric vehicles, segmented by world region and key countries. Anticipated market shares for selected manufacturers are also provided for the United States.

Key Questions Addressed:
•What vehicles using electric motors for traction will be launching in the next few years?
•What are the fuel costs Pike Research anticipates in the next few years?
•How will government incentives impact the market for electric vehicles?
•How will fuel economy regulations impact the market for electric vehicles?
•How fast will the hybrid (HEV), plug-in hybrid (PHEV), and battery electric vehicle (BEV) markets grow?
•What percentage of the total light duty vehicle market will be hybrid and plug-in electric vehicles in the next few years?
•How large will the fleet market for hybrid and plug-in electric vehicles be in the next few years?
•What is the expected PEV market share for major automakers in the United States?

Who needs this report?
•Automotive OEMs
•Vehicle component suppliers
•Electric motor manufacturers
•Battery manufacturers
•EV charging equipment manufacturers
•Utilities
•Government agencies
•Industry associations
•Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Key Market Issues

1.2 Market Forecasts

2. Background Data

2.1 Vehicle Segments

2.2 Key Market Issues

2.2.1 Vehicle Availability

2.2.2 Fuel Prices

2.2.3 Government Market Influence

2.2.3.1 Government Incentives

2.2.3.2 Government Fuel Economy/Emissions Regulations

2.2.4 Consumer Attitudes and Recharging Infrastructure

3. Market Forecasts

3.1 Light-Duty Electric Vehicles Forecast

3.2 Hybrid Electric Light-Duty Vehicle Forecast, World Markets

3.3 Plug-in Electric Light-Duty Vehicle Forecast, World Markets

3.3.1 Plug-in Electric Vehicle Forecast, North America

3.3.2 Plug-in Electric Vehicle Forecast, Europe

3.3.3 Plug-in Electric Vehicle Forecast, Asia Pacific

3.3.3.1 China’s New Energy Vehicle Targets

3.4 Electric Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet Sales Forecast, World Markets

3.5 Selected OEM Plug-in Electric Light-Duty Vehicle Market Share, United States

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List
5. Table of Contents
6. Table of Charts and Figures
7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures
•Annual Light-Duty Electric Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Cumulative Light-Duty PEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Average Gasoline and Diesel Price, World Markets: 2017
•Average Gasoline Price, World Markets: 2011 and 2017
•Annual Light-Duty HEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty PEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•PEV Sales as a Percentage of Total Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Cumulative Light-Duty PEV Sales, North America: 2011-2017
•Cumulative Light-Duty PEV Sales, Europe: 2011-2017
•Cumulative Light-Duty PEV Sales, Asia Pacific: 2011-2017
•Cumulative Light-Duty PHEV and BEV Sales, Asia Pacific: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty New Energy Vehicle (HEV/PEV) Sales, China: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty Electric Vehicle Fleet Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Selected OEM PEV Sales, United States: 2011-2017
•Standardized Comparison of International Fuel Economy and GHG Standards

List of Tables
•Vehicle Roadmap for Light-Duty HEV/PHEV/BEV Passenger Vehicles, Asia Pacific: 2010-2013
•Vehicle Roadmap for Light-Duty HEV/PHEV/BEV Passenger Vehicles, Europe: 2010-2013
•Vehicle Roadmap for Light-Duty HEV/PHEV/BEV Passenger Vehicles, North America: 2010-2013
•Light-Duty Electric Vehicle Purchase Incentives by Country: 2011
•Average Diesel Price, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Average Gasoline Price, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty HEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•HEV Sales as a Percentage of Total Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty PEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•PEV Sales as a Percentage of Total Vehicle Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Cumulative Light-Duty HEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Cumulative Light-Duty PEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty PHEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty BEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Light-Duty Electric Vehicle (HEV, PHEV, BEV) Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Fleet Light-Duty HEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Fleet Light-Duty PHEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Annual Fleet Light-Duty BEV Sales, World Markets: 2011-2017
•Selected OEM Annual PEV Sales, United States: 2011-2017
•Selected OEM Market Share, United States: 2011-2017
•Selected OEM Cumulative PEV Sales, United States: 2011-2017
Source pikeresearch.com

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